Half of the 14 playoff spots are up for grabs after the first game of Week 16. Here’s NFL playoff footage following the Jaguars’ 19-3 win over the Jets on Thursday night. All odds listed to make the playoffs, be ranked No. 1, and win the Super Bowl AthleticThe NFL betting model was developed by Austin Mock. Projected playoff odds have been adjusted due to Week 18 rests and injuries to quarterbacks Jalen Hurts, Lamar Jackson and Ryan Tanhill.
AFC playoff picture
| seed | group | Register | Week 16 results |
|---|---|---|---|
|
x-1 |
11-3 |
At CHI |
|
|
y-2 |
11-3 |
Against the sea |
|
|
x-3 |
10-4 |
What is a horse? |
|
|
4 |
7-7 |
Love vs |
|
|
5 |
9-5 |
vs. ATL |
|
|
6 |
8-6 |
to IN |
|
|
7 |
8-6 |
GB vs |
x — Winning Playoff Perth | y – won the division title
Buffalo Bills
Up three games in the AFC East standings, the Bills can clinch a third straight division title with a win or tie against the Bears on Saturday or a Dolphins loss or tie against the Packers on Sunday.
Rest of the schedule: At Bearsat Bengalvs. Patriots
Contradictions: To make the playoffs: 100 percent | To get a bye: 60.1 percent | To win the Super Bowl: 14.2 percent
Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs won their seventh consecutive AFC West title in Week 15, so the chase for the No. 1 seed is all that’s left of them. After losing back-to-back games against both the Bills and Bengals, the Chiefs need to finish with a better record than those two teams to gain home-field advantage through a first-round bye and the conference championship round.
Rest of the schedule: vs Sea hawksvs. Broncosat testers
Contradictions: To make the playoffs: 100 percent | To gain pie: 36.2 percent | To win the Super Bowl: 12.8 percent
Go deeper
MVP odds: Hurts’ injury opens door for Mahomes
Cincinnati Bengals
The Jets’ loss to the Jaguars on Thursday cost the Bengals a playoff berth. Cincinnati last made consecutive playoff appearances during its five-year run from 2011-2015. Our model gives the Bengals a 68.5 percent chance of winning the AFC North.
Rest of the schedule: At PatriotsBills against, against. Crows
Contradictions: To make the playoffs: 100 percent | To get pie: 3.7 percent | To win the Super Bowl: 6.3 percent
Tennessee Titans
The Jaguars’ win Thursday night puts more pressure on the Titans, who have lost four in a row. Ryan Tannehill will be without “mostly” the rest of the season It now holds a half-game lead in the AFC South standings heading into Week 16 play at Tennessee. Texans.
The Jaguars Won the first head-to-head meeting with the Titans. Unless the Jaguars post the same or better record than the Titans over the next two weeks, the second major matchup in Jacksonville in Week 18 is set to be a winner-take-all matchup.
If the Titans enter Week 18 ahead of the Jaguars and Jacksonville wins the regular-season finale, the combined records of the two teams would give the Jaguars the head-to-head tiebreaker.
If the Jaguars enter Week 18 ahead of the Titans, a Tennessee win would give the Titans the division based on a better division record, as both teams enter their regular season finale with a 3-2 record against the AFC South in this scenario. Like the Titans, the Jaguars have one more game against the Texans on their schedule.
Our model gives Tennessee a 46.3 percent chance of winning the AFC South for the third year in a row.
Rest of the schedule: vs Texansvs. Cowherd warriorsAt the Jaguars
Contradictions: To make the playoffs: 47.7 percent | Get Pi: 0.0 percent | To win the Super Bowl: 1.6 percent
Baltimore Ravens
The Crows There’s even a scenario that Baltimore gets regardless of the outcome if the Patriots lose and could clinch a playoff spot this weekend. BrownsRiders and Titans Lose or tie, and the Chargers win.
But as Athletics Jeff Zrebiec writesWithout a version of Lamar Jackson who can anchor this team, it will be difficult to consider the Ravens a serious contender. The football player will miss his third straight game with a knee injury.
Rest of the schedule: vs Hawksvs. The SteelersIn Bengal
Contradictions: To make the playoffs: 96.7 percent | Get Pi: 0.0 percent | To win the Super Bowl: 3.5 percent
Los Angeles Chargers
The chargers A combination of a win and losses or a tie in Indianapolis on Monday clinch a playoff spot testers, PatriotsJets and/or Dolphins. According to our model, they face the seventh easiest remaining schedule, which starts with a trip to Indianapolis to face the Colts. Will start quarterback Nick Foles First time this weekend.
The Chargers hold the tiebreaker over the Dolphins and have a better conference record (6-4) than two teams with seven wins: the Patriots (5-4) and Jets (5-6). The Jaguars are 6-4 against the AFC following Thursday night’s win.
Rest of the schedule: At Coltsvs. Ramsat Broncos
Contradictions: To make the playoffs: 85.8 percent | Get Pi: 0.0 percent | To win the Super Bowl: 3.7 percent
Miami Dolphins
A three-game losing streak leaves the Dolphins out of contention for a playoff spot this weekend. Their upcoming games against the Patriots and Jets could be more lucrative.
Rest of the schedule: vs BakersAt Patriots, vs. Jets
Contradictions: To make the playoffs: 82.5 percent | Get Pi: 0.0 percent | To win the Super Bowl: 4.2 percent
on the hunt
- Patriots (7-7) | Odds of making the playoffs: 23.0 percent
- Jets (7-8) | 5.4 percent
- Jaguars (7-8) | 54.9 percent
- Browns (6-8) | < 1.0 percent
- The Steelers (6-8) | < 1.0 percent
- testers (6-8) | 3.0 percent
Deleted
- Broncos (4-10)
- Colts (4-9-1)
- Texans (1-12-1)
NFC playoff picture
| seed | group | Register | Week 16 results |
|---|---|---|---|
|
x-1 |
13-1 |
In SONG |
|
|
y-2 |
11-3 |
vs. NYG |
|
|
y-3 |
10-4 |
was against |
|
|
4 |
6-8 |
and ARI |
|
|
x-5 |
10-4 |
vs. PHI |
|
|
6 |
8-5-1 |
That MIN |
|
|
7 |
7-6-1 |
In SF |
x — winning playoff berth | y – won the division title
Philadelphia Eagles
eagles, Who would be without Jalen Hurts this weekend?, punched their playoff ticket in Week 14 but still haven’t officially clinched the NFC East or the No. 1 seed. Here’s how they can do both in Week 16:
- Win the NFC East with a win or tie against the Cowboys
- With a win against the Cowboys or a tie against the Cowboys and a Vikings loss or a tie against the Giants, clinch the No. 1 seed.
Rest of the schedule: At Cowboys, vs. Saintsvs. Giants
Contradictions: To make the playoffs: 100 percent | Get Pie: 95.0 percent | To win the Super Bowl: 16.5 percent
Minnesota Vikings
Even if the Vikings lose, they can’t finish worse than the No. 3 seed. They can thank the sad state of the NFC South for that.
According to our model, Minnesota has the sixth-easiest remaining schedule.
Rest of the schedule: vs GiantsAt BakersAt Bears
Contradictions: To make the playoffs: 100 percent | Get pie: 1.5 percent | To win the Super Bowl: 9.0 percent
San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers felt their odds of getting the No. 1 seed were slim, but San Francisco made that clear this week. Shooting to win over the Vikings for 2nd place.
Rest of the schedule: vs GeneralsAt Raiders, vs. Cardinals
Contradictions: To make the playoffs: 100 percent | To get pie: 1.7 percent | To win the Super Bowl: 7.2 percent
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The 6-8 Bucks are one game ahead of the other three teams in their division, all of whom are 5-9. Surprisingly, the Panthers control their own destiny as they won their first match against the Bucks. The second comes in Week 17 at Tampa. Our model gives Carolina a 10.4 percent chance of winning the NFC South, compared to 83.7 percent for the Bucs.
Rest of the schedule: At Cardinalsvs. Cheetahsat Hawks
Contradictions: To make the playoffs: 83.8 percent | Get Pi: 0.0 percent | To win the Super Bowl: 3.3 percent
Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys clinched a playoff spot when the Giants beat the Commanders last week, but according to our model, Dallas has a 3.6 percent chance of winning the NFC East and a 1.8 percent chance of the No. 1 seed.
Rest of the schedule: vs. Eagles, Titans, at Generals
Contradictions: To make the playoffs: 100 percent | To get pie: 1.8 percent | To win the Super Bowl: 5.1 percent
New York Giants
A win over the Vikings this weekend and a combination of losses to the Commanders, Lions and Seahawks could see the Giants clinch their first playoff berth since 2016. A win in Minnesota would make the Giants’ playoff chances more than 90 percent.
Rest of the schedule: At Vikings, vs. Colts, at Eagles
Contradictions: To make the playoffs: 80.1 percent | Get Pi: 0.0 percent | To win the Super Bowl: 2.9 percent
Go deeper
NFL playoff predictions for Week 16: Who gains and loses in each outcome?
Washington generals
Washington gave up huge playoff leverage last week with a loss to the Giants. The Commanders are seven points shy of a road matchup against the 49ers.
Rest of the schedule: 49ers vs. Browns vs. Cowboys
Contradictions: To make the playoffs: 37.6 percent | Get Pi: 0.0 percent | To win the Super Bowl: 1.8 percent
on the hunt
- Sea hawks (7-7) | Odds of making the playoffs: 18.1 percent
- Lions (7-7) | 57.1 percent
- Packers (6-8) | 6.9 percent
- Panthers (5-9) | 10.4 percent
- Hawks (5-9) | 3.0 percent
- Saints (5-9) | 3.1 percent
Deleted
- Bears (3-11)
- Cardinals (4-10)
- Rams (4-10)
(Photo: Vincent Carchietta / USA Today)
